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18 November 2009

4th Down

Why Belichick was right to go for it. Football coaches at most levels seem to forget that the rules allow four tries to attain the first-down line, not just three with a punt/kick down.
But football coaches are managers, and are more highly motivated not to screw-up rather than ultimate outcomes. They can always explain their behavior to ownership by showing they desired to keep it close and followed convention--as all their brethren are conditioned and motivated to do--rather than risk and fail.
More insight here, here, here and here.

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In general, I agree. Coaches play not to fail instead of playing to win.

In this case, I think NE should've punted.

I understand having more faith in your offense than your defense, but he also needed to keep it a one score game.

So field position plays a larger part in this gamble. If he was 10 more yards downfield, its a gray area. 20, go for it.

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