"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--F.A. Hayek
12 March 2012
25 September 2011
Creating Barriers, Not Jobs
20 September 2011
On Tax & Circumstance
02 September 2011
See What Happens
11 July 2011
Parsing Time
26 June 2011
On Not Knowing What You're Talking About
Mr. Richard Stengel wrote a 5,000 word piece for Time magazine on the Constitution. I might be going out on a limb here, but this could well be the finest demonstration of what happens when a person writes so much about a topic that he knows absolutely nothing about.
Just for fun I will annotate the first four paragraphs of this specious exegesis. The original text is as is with my notes in bold:
Here are a few things the framers did not know about: World War II. DNA. Sexting. Airplanes. The atom. Television. Medicare. Collateralized debt obligations. The germ theory of disease. Miniskirts. The internal combustion engine. Computers. Antibiotics. Lady Gaga. This is the hook. Effective so far as it goes, but rife with foreboding about the juvenile line of reasoning that the author will employ. While doing research on a paper about obscenity in high school I remember reading a great line that went "asking what the founders would think about Deep Throat is like asking what they would think about helicopters." It would be an interesting conversation, to be sure, but utterly meaningless. None of the examples the author leads with give rise to any sort of constitutional question. But the founders were aware of the concepts of both technological innovation and, I'm sure, bad music.
People on the right and left constantly ask what the framers would say about some event that is happening today. What would the framers say about whether the drones over Libya constitute a violation of Article I, Section 8, which gives Congress the power to declare war? (I may be splitting hairs here, but using military means for policy ends is something the founders might have been able to wrap their heads around. The question becomes does the president have the authority to use the military without congressional approval. The answer is that the congress has the power of the purse strings and if the president were to misappropriate funds to carry out a military exercise that the congress has forbidden, the president has then committed an impeachable offense. Whether congress carries out the act of impeaching and removing the president is entirely up to the discretion of the congress.) Well, since George Washington didn't even dream that man could fly (The myth of Icarus predates Washington by about 17 centuries. Washington admired Seneca, but even Stoics can dream, no?), much less use a global-positioning satellite to aim a missile, it's hard to say what he would think (Nor does it matter, but a tiptoe through the Pacificus-Helvidius debates could give anyone with the time and desire to know what one is talking about an idea). What would the framers say about whether a tax on people who did not buy health insurance is an abuse of Congress's authority under the commerce clause? (The Commerce Clause was intended to allow the free flow of commerce between the states. Our modern understanding of our federated republic is ignorant of the parochialism that plagued the young nation. But why let the plain meaning of the words used (and a lack of anything added to the constitution to the contrary) get in the way. It is, very simply put, beyond the constitutional authority of congress to require a citizen to buy anything, even if it is for his own good.) Well, since James Madison did not know what health insurance was and doctors back then still used leeches (Still do, dumbass. This falls under the fallacious reasoning of the Whig Theory of History (& here) something done a long time ago must be foolish, and we are necessarily smarter today than we were in the past. It is also a false analogy, just because there have been advancements in our understanding of medicine doesn't mean that we haven't lost an appreciation for what our constitution says and does.), it's difficult to know what he would say. And what would Thomas Jefferson, a man who owned slaves and is believed to have fathered children with at least one of them (prurient and irrelevant), think about a half-white, half-black American President born in Hawaii (a state that did not exist)? Again, hard to say (Er, no it isn't. If we were to reanimate old TJ, give him a quick primer on the events from his death through the Civil War and to today and then show him the election returns from the 2008 election, he would probably say "congratulations." But again, it doesn't matter because history happened and Mr. Obama won the election. There is no constitutional controversy here.).
The framers were not gods and were not infallible (Textbook sophistry, no one has ever argued thus. Ever. To belabor this further would lend credence that this level of asininity does not deserve). Yes, they gave us, and the world, a blueprint for the protection of democratic freedoms — freedom of speech, assembly, religion (no, they didn't)— but they also gave us the idea that a black person was three-fifths of a human being (no, they didn't. The 3/5s compromise did not mean a black person was "3/5s" of a human being and this argument is as lazy as it is wrong. Here the actual words that were written will be helpful, "Representatives and direct Taxes shall be apportioned among the several States which may be included within this Union, according to their respective Numbers, which shall be determined by adding to the whole Number of free Persons, including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons." So saying that this clause makes slaves (n.b., not "blacks") 3/5s of a person is akin to saying that the constitution made the Indians unpersons. This was a hedge against Southern hegemony specifically on the notion of slavery and was done to hasten the day that slavery would be abolished, not to forestall it), that women were not allowed to vote (neither the founders (in convention) nor the constitution said any such thing) and that South Dakota should have the same number of Senators as California, which is kind of crazy (Why? Does the author not understand bicameral republicanism? Or simply not like the fact that those rubes in South Dakota are entitled to the same representation as those enlightened superhumans who live in California? And I should point out that neither South Dakota nor California existed at the time; both joined the union knowing full well what the rules of the game were, and the Connecticut Compromise is one of the finest examples of political compromise on the history of mankind. Crazy indeed.). And I'm not even going to mention the Electoral College (Why not? I'm going to go out on a limb and posit that it might be because the author doesn't understand how it works or why the founders thought it important (though hardly essential).). They did not give us income taxes (Thankfully). Or Prohibition (See, they were smart after all). Those came later (Perhaps, in the case of the former, they realized that the fruits of one's labor were rightly that person's property and in the latter that attempts to regulate individual behavior were a fool's errand. Regardless, at least it was realized at some point that increases in the authority of the government did require amending the constitution according to the established protocols.).
Americans have debated the Constitution since the day it was signed, but seldom have so many disagreed so fiercely about so much (First clause is indubitably correct, the latter is ahistorical stupidity). Would it be unconstitutional to default on our debt? (No.) Should we have a balanced-budget amendment? (Academic and moot, if enough people want to do it, the mechanism is there to do it. The founders did not find it necessary, for whatever reason, to include such a requirement. Though it is doubtful that they would be comfortable with deficits quite like we have today.) Is it constitutional to ask illegal immigrants to carry documents? (Maybe, maybe not, but it certainly is constitutional to control migration, so far as it is practicable, into sovereign borders.) The past decade, beginning with the disputed election of 2000, has been a long national civics class about what the Constitution means — and how much it still matters. For eight years under George W. Bush, the nation wrestled with the balance between privacy and security (an issue the framers contended with) while the left portrayed the country as moving toward tyranny (an argument conspicuously dropped even though the Obama administration has carried on virtually all of Bush's policies and even gone far beyond anything Bush or his henchmen ever considered.). For the past three years under President Obama, we have weighed issues of individual freedom vs. government control while the right has portrayed the country as moving toward a socialist welfare state (Here the author provides a link to tea-party protesters carrying signs; no reasoned examination of the incontrovertible argument that the government has increased the public provision of non-public goods (what socialism is), just an assertion supported by a link to eight pictures taken during a protest march. Smell that? That's modern American journalism).
I could go on, but really, what's the point? I encourage you to read the whole thing. The only thing any honest reading of the article will present you with is the knowledge that the author doesn't know what he's talking about.
20 June 2011
Same as He Ever Was
17 June 2011
Klavan on Ryan v Obama
06 June 2011
Sean Penn is Still an Idiot
- There has been a systemic barrage of misreporting and context-shifting within the U.S. media and espoused by many U.S. Representatives relative to Venezuela and its democratically elected President Hugo Chavez.
- The American people have grown accustomed to hearing the Venezuelan president referred to as a dictator, not only by media representatives but by members of the leadership in both parties. This is a defamation, not only to President Chavez, but also to the majority of Venezuelan people, poor people who have elected him president time and time again.
- a president elected by the impoverished and at the service of the Venezuelan constitution, a document not unlike our own.
- He is a flamboyant, passionate leader. And while our own cultural and constitutional conditioning would lead us to serious concerns in the powers of his office, there must be an informed adjustment to give our analyses a context that may extend beyond our borders.
22 April 2011
Keynes on Keynesianism
"The theory of aggregate production, which is the point of the following book, nevertheless can be much easier adapted to the conditions of a totalitarian state than the theory of production and distribution of a given production put forth under conditions of free competition and a large degree of laissez-faire. This is one of the reasons that justifies the fact that I call my theory a general theory."
--John Maynard Keynes, from the forward to the 1936 German Edition of his General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
21 April 2011
When WE do it, it's OK
15 April 2011
15 April
I don't like taxes. Any of them. And I'm put off by people who are either ambivalent about them or think they are a good idea. A necessary evil, perhaps, but the operative word would be evil over necessary. I know government needs revenue in order to function, and though I admire and respect Murray Rothbard, I am not an anarchist. Anarchy may be a fine aspiration (mankind living harmoniously, with respect to human, civil and property rights without the need for government), but I don't think it realistic.
The establishment of government means that we all have to give up some liberty in exchange for order. But since some liberty must be sacrificed, and since liberty is something held dear, we should keep the amount we must sacrifice to the absolute minimum. And this requires keeping government to an absolute minimum. Which would keep the amount of revenue needed for the government to function as low as possible. Which would have the happy consequence of keeping taxes as low as possible.
People who say "I would gladly pay more in taxes" are, to put it mildly, idiots. That means that they quite obviously receive too much compensation for the work they do. Secondly, anyone who wishes to pay more in taxes can. Have your employer withhold the maximum amount from your pay and don't claim any deductions. And don't cash your refund check. It is obvious that anyone who would do these things is not a rational actor. And I don't want irrational people telling me what to do with my money.
Then we have those who say the "rich" should pay their "fair share." I have said it before and I will say it again: the easiest thing in the world to do is to spend someone else's money. Milton Friedman devotes a chapter to this in his book Free to Choose (Chapter 4, From Cradle to Grave, please see the video that accompanies the chapter here). Not only is it easy to spend someone else's money, it is just as easy to waste someone else's money. And government, every single government that has ever existed, proves exceptionally good at this.
So when you couple this almost genetic compulsion to waste money, even when the task at hand is a legitimate function of government and works to the best interest of all participants with no negative externalities, with the propensity to spend more money than taken in, you have what is known as a problem. And folks, we got a big problem. And the problem has gotten as big as it is because government, and people's expectations of government, has become unchained from what its legitimate function is.
In his speech on Wednesday, 13 April 2011, President Obama pointed out that he doesn't care for the spending plan for the 2012 budget laid out by the Republicans because "their vision is less about reducing the deficit than it is about changing the basic social compact in America."
Really?
Social Security was started in 1935 and Medicare and Medicaid were started in 1965, 76 and 46 years respectively. The country is 235 years old and the constitution is 222 years old. I don't think a transfer program that is one-month younger than my step-father can be considered a more important social compact than the constitution of the United States.
Realizing that people not only are responsible for themselves, but actually can be responsible for themselves in an anathema to most politicians, because what then would the politician be good for if not taking from the many to give to the few in order to remain in office?
Another point. Obama also said in his speech: "Part of this American belief that we are all connected also expresses itself in a conviction that each one of us deserves some basic measure of security. We recognize that no matter how responsibly we live our lives, hard times or bad luck, a crippling illness or a layoff, may strike any one of us. 'There but for the grace of God go I,' we say to ourselves, and so we contribute to programs like Medicare and Social Security[.]" Pleasing rhetoric, no doubt, but utter nonsense.
No one I know "contributes" anything to Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid. It is taken from your pay by your employer and remitted to the government quarterly, along with the employer's matching "contribution" under penalty of law. Things tight this quarter? Need to pass on making that "contribution"? Guess what happens? You won't be discussing the virtues of government mandated compassion with the fellow with the pleasing rhetoric. You will be faced with fines and penalties and liens on any real estate you own. Decide to keep too much of your own money and you're looking at accommodations at some other federally run resorts.
We don't "give" to Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid because we are compassionate towards our fellow citizens. We give to churches, the Red Cross, food pantries. We give our time and effort and money to others. That is charity. That is compassion. Because it is voluntary, it is not good, it is great. It is a very small step towards that Utopia of Anarchy. It is also something people have done since people have been around. It even precedes people. Evidence of altruistic behavior can be seen throughout the animal kingdom. But we "give" to these government entities, the ones that will spend the money foolishly while increasing the soul-deadening bureaucracy, because if we don't we will lose more money, lose our homes, go to jail or all three.
These programs throw the government-liberty balance completely out of whack.
09 April 2011
More Fallacies
Next, we come to the argument made by Reich that attempts to balance the budget are what exacerbated the Great Depression in 1937. This silly notion has been disproved time and again. If deficit spending worked and was actually able to boost "aggregate demand", balancing the budget eight years after the depression started wouldn't have been an issue because there had been nothing but federal intervention and deficit spending since the crash in 1929 (I am surprised that no one brought up Hoover and his alleged do-nothingness for good measure). Government spending can not "make up" for slouching consumer demand. It merely crowds out private investment in less efficient production. Any would-be gain is lost in diminished efficiency and higher borrowing costs, not to mention higher taxes.
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08 March 2011
Whatever Would We Do Without Cowboy Poetry
“The mean-spirited bill, H.R. 1 … eliminates the National Endowment of the Humanities, National Endowment of the Arts,” said Reid. “These programs create jobs. The National Endowment of the Humanities is the reason we have in northern Nevada every January a cowboy poetry festival. Had that program not been around, the tens of thousands of people who come there every year would not exist.”
That's right, not only would the world have to struggle along without Nevada's world-renown cowboy poetry festival, but the existence of any would be attendees would be snuffed out. Tens of thousands of people!
Malapropism of simply hyperbole? Who knows? But if cutting the budget means that the country would be without tens of thousands of people who would flock to Nevada for a cowboy poetry festival (and not just the cowboy poetry festival), then I say let's start cutting.
02 March 2011
Suing John Ashcroft
Anyway, the statute has been around for centuries, but the abuse of the authority was kicked up a bit after the attacks on 11 September 2001 and the Justice Department was headed by John Ashcroft.
Again, I don't want to rehash the whole story, but this little tidbit really struck me:
Former Attorney General Mukasey says it's important for the attorney general to be able to use the material witness law in this way "without having to worry about individual liability and saying, 'You know, maybe I better not do this. Maybe we better just let these folks slip through our fingers because one of these individuals might sue.' " (emphasis added)
This was my major complaint with the Bush administration and it is being carried on with great gusto by the Obama administration. Lost in their zeal to protect everyone is the essence of what this country was founded on. A public official granted wide authority by statute, and not by the constitution, is not to be held personally liable in a situation clearly showing disregard not only of basic (fundamental) human rights (life, liberty, property) but of the actual text of the statute itself. Mukasey worries about officials being scared into inaction by threat of lawsuit, when they should be considering, first, foremost and every time, whether the rights of the individual in question are being violated. If the answer is yes, and it clearly is in this case, then no action is to be taken against that individual. Who cares if the guy was going to Saudi Arabia? Whether his ticket was round-trip in coach or one way in first-class, he was not a criminal; not charged with any crime, not suspected of having committed any crime.
And even if he is to be detained merely for providing testimony in a potential criminal case against someone else...three maximum security facilities and frequent strip searches? Not holding the individuals responsible for these atrocities personally liable for their actions merely pushes the burden onto the taxpayer. Yes, the plaintiff will get his payday, but he, and we, will be denied justice. At least he'll get some money, we'll get the bill.
I hope (but doubt) that the Supreme Court will stand on the side of the individual. If not, we will take another step down the Road to Serfdom, accepting more the notion that the government is the master and the people the servants.
*the Obama administration talked a good game before coming to office about how bad the Bush administration was in areas of presidential authority and civil rights. In practice, it has embraced most of the policies and broadened some others. But for the life of me, I can't seem to recall the nasty articles from the New Republic condemning the practices under Obama.
22 February 2011
FDR on State Unions
My dear Mr. Steward:
As I am unable to accept your kind invitation to be present on the occasion of the Twentieth Jubilee Convention of the National Federation of Federal Employees, I am taking this method of sending greetings and a message.
Reading your letter of July 14, 1937, I was especially interested in the timeliness of your remark that the manner in which the activities of your organization have been carried on during the past two decades "has been in complete consonance with the best traditions of public employee relationships." Organizations of Government employees have a logical place in Government affairs.
The desire of Government employees for fair and adequate pay, reasonable hours of work, safe and suitable working conditions, development of opportunities for advancement, facilities for fair and impartial consideration and review of grievances, and other objectives of a proper employee relations policy, is basically no different from that of employees in private industry. Organization on their part to present their views on such matters is both natural and logical, but meticulous attention should be paid to the special relationships and obligations of public servants to the public itself and to the Government.
All Government employees should realize that the process of collective bargaining, as usually understood, cannot be transplanted into the public service. It has its distinct and insurmountable limitations when applied to public personnel management. The very nature and purposes of Government make it impossible for administrative officials to represent fully or to bind the employer in mutual discussions with Government employee organizations. The employer is the whole people, who speak by means of laws enacted by their representatives in Congress. Accordingly, administrative officials and employees alike are governed and guided, and in many instances restricted, by laws which establish policies, procedures, or rules in personnel matters.
Particularly, I want to emphasize my conviction that militant tactics have no place in the functions of any organization of Government employees. Upon employees in the Federal service rests the obligation to serve the whole people, whose interests and welfare require orderliness and continuity in the conduct of Government activities. This obligation is paramount. Since their own services have to do with the functioning of the Government, a strike of public employees manifests nothing less than an intent on their part to prevent or obstruct the operations of Government until their demands are satisfied. Such action, looking toward the paralysis of Government by those who have sworn to support it, is unthinkable and intolerable. It is, therefore, with a feeling of gratification that I have noted in the constitution of the National Federation of Federal Employees the provision that "under no circumstances shall this Federation engage in or support strikes against the United States Government."
I congratulate the National Federation of Federal Employees the twentieth anniversary of its founding and trust that the convention will, in every way, be successful.
Very sincerely yours,
Mr. Luther C. Steward,
President, National Federation of Federal Employees,
10 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C.
APP Note: Although this letter appears to be signed, "Very sincerely yours, Mr. Luther C. Steward, President, National Federation of Federal Employees, 10 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C.," the letter is from Roosevelt to Steward. The placement of the addressee's name and address at the bottom of the document was an editorial decision in the original "Public Papers and Addresses of Franklin D. Roosevelt." The American Presidency Project's policy is to reproduce documents in their original form.
15 February 2011
Government and Home Ownership
- The Federal Reserve...as pointed out in this editorial in the Wall Street Journal, written as President W was leaving office, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates too low for too long. The created distortions in the market place, signaling to investors that money should be spent on long-range capital investments. Interest rates, when allowed to operate according to market rules, will be lower as more people save money. This increases the market for loanable funds. People are saving for future consumption. Lower interest rates tell industry that since people are saving for future consumption, they should borrow cheaper money to invest in longer-range investments to be able to provide more goods and services in the future.
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...forget, for a moment, collateralized debt obligations, credit-default swaps and "carving up mortgages" you may have heard about. The federal government set up ostensibly private institutions whose sole purpose was to purchase mortgage "debt" from banks in order to free up more money to lend. The age-old accounting equation states that assets must equal liabilities plus owner equity. So mortgages are not debt or liabilities to banks. They are assets. But so is cash. So the banks "trade" one asset for another with these GSEs, "freeing up" more money to lend. A simple supply and demand curve will show that the best way to drive the price of something up is to increase the amount of buyers out there. Buying the mortgages from banks with the explicit goal (mandate) of getting them to lend more money to more people to buy houses pushes up, artificially, the price of houses.
04 December 2010
What's Wrong with Our Agriculture Policy
| The Colbert Report | Mon - Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c | |||
| Tom Vilsack | ||||
| www.colbertnation.com | ||||
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"Trying to make sure that folks continue to have affordable food in this country."*
"Americans spend less of their disposable income for groceries than just about anybody else on the face of the earth which means we have more discretionary income to spend on other things like cars, nicer homes, vacations."**
After Colbert asks why we subsidize foods and then tell kids not to eat them (meaning high fructose corn syrup, I guess), Vilsack replies "The reality is we have to have a safety net for our farmers because its a tough business. You have no control over weather, you have no control over markets. You need to know that probably 90% of America's farmers are just barely making it, 10% are doing pretty well, but there are a lot of farmers out there who struggle, so it is important to have a strong safety net. At the same time it is important that we have affordable food for folks in this country and the programs at the USDA are designed to help that."***
*The law of unintended consequences and about 23 seconds of critical thinking shows that any effort the federal government exerts to make sure folks have affordable food does the exact opposite; not to mention the moral repugnance of assuming that people cannot fend for themselves and help their neighbors of their own volition. It is a religious mission to feed the hungry and clothe the naked, not a political one.
**the money that is spent by the government comes through taxes causing dead-weight loss and lost productivity or deficit spending reducing the market for loanable funds and distorting the time preference for money, skewing short- and long-term interest rates. Meaning that, contrary to the best efforts of socialists, we all have less money for cars, nicer homes and vacations.
***Farmers used to be respected because theirs was a difficult lot. Hence the phrase "yeoman's job." Now, apparently, they are to be given money by the government on top of what they manage to produce and sell because it's a tough job. By prohibiting the most efficient allocation of resources (and as far as the government is concerned, this is entirely made up of other people's money) we reward unproductive work, stunt innovation and further the cause of dependence on government. Market uncertainty encourages innovation, thrift and the most efficient allocation of resources which all boost production and productivity. Which helps everyone. These assertions are self-evident and, as Mises would say, "apodictically certain." No econometric models are necessary. No calculus. The only group that would suffer more than the farmers (and some farmers would definitely suffer, but this only means that we have too many farmers) would be the politicians who would lose campaign contributions and lobbying gigs for when they leave office.
03 August 2010
The Question isn't What Are We Going to Do
I don't think the Health Care Bill violates the 13th amendment, but congress does overstep its bounds by requiring people to purchase a service that they may not want to.
Now, if congress meddles further and commands that doctors must perform certain services to certain people and accept a legislated wage, that could be construed as a form of servitude (even if we think the remuneration is adequate). It is no different or less reprehensible than the draft.
Stark isn't alone in his obnoxious conception of government (and of his own powers), but at least he's honest about it. Most Republican legislators talk about limiting or reducing government in fora such as this, and then do whatever they want in Washington.
06 April 2010
Good Job
Well done, Mr. Frank.